Like Campi Flegrei: https://www.thelocal.it/20250718/naples-and-campi-flegrei-shaken-by-4-0-magnitude-quake Which has had earthquake swarms, though admittedly its somewhat of a normality in the area
Idaho Volcano’s / Yellow Stone https://www.ktvb.com/article/news/local/stanley-earthquake-swarm-brings-hundreds-quakes-not-over/277-7aa1da74-a7bd-4381-b6cb-71a16cd04def
Also Japan’s recent activity that’s led to fears of larger eruptions: https://uk.news.yahoo.com/spectacular-aerials-show-shinmoedake-erupting-020000376.html
Though most don’t seem to definitively suggest a “Super Volcano Eruption” what’s the likelihood of an eruption of that mythical scale occurring in our lifetimes ?
This professor of volcanology places the odds at 1/1400, despite highlighting several trends towards quickly filling magma reservoirs. It seems there’s just a lot of space to fill.
odds at 1/1400
This stat confused me, so I read that that’s the odds of it happening within a human lifetime.
That’s the odds OP asked for, so I phrased it that way. Sorry it is a little confusing.
Oh, good point. Don’t mind me! By the time I read through the article I had already forgotten the point of original post.
Interesting that they’re so low. Seems like we’d get a major earthquake before an eruption with those kinds of stats
I mean, keep in mind that these volcanos can and do periodically errupt on a much more minor scale, many of these signs are much more likely to point to that. They’re still active, but the vast majority of activity is going to be minor rather than lead to a supervolcano scale eruption.