Like Campi Flegrei: https://www.thelocal.it/20250718/naples-and-campi-flegrei-shaken-by-4-0-magnitude-quake Which has had earthquake swarms, though admittedly its somewhat of a normality in the area

Idaho Volcano’s / Yellow Stone https://www.ktvb.com/article/news/local/stanley-earthquake-swarm-brings-hundreds-quakes-not-over/277-7aa1da74-a7bd-4381-b6cb-71a16cd04def

Also Japan’s recent activity that’s led to fears of larger eruptions: https://uk.news.yahoo.com/spectacular-aerials-show-shinmoedake-erupting-020000376.html

Though most don’t seem to definitively suggest a “Super Volcano Eruption” what’s the likelihood of an eruption of that mythical scale occurring in our lifetimes ?

    • everett@lemmy.mlEnglish
      3·
      8 days ago

      odds at 1/1400

      This stat confused me, so I read that that’s the odds of it happening within a human lifetime.

        • everett@lemmy.mlEnglish
          2·
          8 days ago

          Oh, good point. Don’t mind me! By the time I read through the article I had already forgotten the point of original post.

        • weirdbeardgame@lemmy.worldOPEnglish
          1·
          8 days ago

          Interesting that they’re so low. Seems like we’d get a major earthquake before an eruption with those kinds of stats

          • MysteriousSophon21@lemmy.worldEnglish
            1·
            1 day ago

            Actually earthquakes are often precursors to volcanic activity since they can indicate magma movement, but the monitoring systems for supervolcanoes like Yellowstone are incredibily sophisticated now - they can detect ground deformation of less than a centimeter using GPS and satelite data, which gives us years or even decades of warning before a potential catastophic eruption.

          • kata1yst@sh.itjust.worksEnglish
            2·
            8 days ago

            I mean, keep in mind that these volcanos can and do periodically errupt on a much more minor scale, many of these signs are much more likely to point to that. They’re still active, but the vast majority of activity is going to be minor rather than lead to a supervolcano scale eruption.