I recognize this graph! It’s from this video and it tries to analyze how states have historically risen and fallen from their positions of power, and the attempts to apply it to the current situation.

There’s a video linked from the thread that I wanted to get other people’s opinions on: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xguam0TKMw8

The video tries to analyze how the cycles of rise and fall of different empires in the past can be used to interpret the present.

The work has some grounding in reality, though we should question some of the hidden assumptions made behind the work. I feel like this isn’t a complete system, however. He over-simplifies how the myriad states work and only focuses on the world power vs the rest of the world. While there is a focus on how an empire rises and how the systems interconnect, comparatively little is done to question how an empire declines and how those systems break down, only how the latest does.