https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09085-w

I believe I already posted it a few days ago on the main page

Abstract Climate change threatens global food systems1, but the extent to which adaptation will reduce losses remains unknown and controversial2. Even within the well-studied context of US agriculture, some analyses argue that adaptation will be widespread and climate damages small3,4, whereas others conclude that adaptation will be limited and losses severe5,6. Scenario-based analyses indicate that adaptation should have notable consequences on global agricultural productivity7,8,9, but there has been no systematic study of how extensively real-world producers actually adapt at the global scale. Here we empirically estimate the impact of global producer adaptations using longitudinal data on six staple crops spanning 12,658 regions, capturing two-thirds of global crop calories. We estimate that global production declines 5.5 × 1014 kcal annually per 1 °C global mean surface temperature (GMST) rise (120 kcal per person per day or 4.4% of recommended consumption per 1 °C; P < 0.001). We project that adaptation and income growth alleviate 23% of global losses in 2050 and 34% at the end of the century (6% and 12%, respectively; moderate-emissions scenario), but substantial residual losses remain for all staples except rice. In contrast to analyses of other outcomes that project the greatest damages to the global poor10,11, we find that global impacts are dominated by losses to modern-day breadbaskets with favourable climates and limited present adaptation, although losses in low-income regions losses are also substantial. These results indicate a scale of innovation, cropland expansion or further adaptation that might be necessary to ensure food security in a changing climate.

it will be interesting to see how canada plays out. they have a potemkin economy based on everyone selling houses back and forth to each other for millions of dollars more than they would be worth in a sane world. they have tar sands, potash and timber. but most of their economy is fake. Its probably good they let in a bunch of smart driven people from across the world but those gates are closing now and those smart driven people are often locked out of owning anything and are mostly rent-slaves that cant get ahead paying their feudal overlord canadians that were born into ownership class.

It really happens but how much and.tk.what effect needs to be validated before making strong claims about it.

I think the fact that schools are passing absolute imbeciles across the board is much larger problem . Credentialism in the form of college degrees has almost zero signal of competency now.

The guy linked the DEI with institutional failure thats actually happening, but probably only minimally from the DEI.

I hope palladium goes back to being more ideologically neutral towards institutional functionality and doesn’t fall to moronic neoreactionary bullshit like Quillette did .

Usually when something like this passes through the editors desk without getting tossed or forced to come back with substantial supporting evidence it means a magazine hit the beginning of the end. It took less than a year for Quillette to go from good to garbage after they let this type of shit in the door unedited.

It sux because it’s been my favorite magazine lately besides Quanta .

If places like the USA stop sucking up all the top cognitive 1% from the rest of the world while conflating that with DEI it’s going to seriously accelerate institutional failure and enhance the positions of other countries . Once the “brown people scary and bad” blocks geniuses out USA is cementing it’s decline.

I doubt there will be much of a crash in housing , if anything increased housing supply will just slowly normalize house prices and any drop in interest rates will bring huge wave of buyers to clear the inventory as pent up demand has people building down payments waiting for interest rates to drop. We are still wildly deficit in affordable housing supply

The lending standards for housing are still relatively tight , it’s not like 2007.

:sigh:

Damn it, I feel like a digital refugee getting cast about.

ive been watching how its played out for a long time and its pretty much a complete shitshow now. There are some videos where people sneak off into the non-tourist areas and really see what living is like and its bleaker than its ever been. All the cuban post soviet successes have really ultimately succumbed to entropy at this point. Sadly a lot of the successes that were sociopolitical innovation have not really been well documented , things like different types of ownership and use structures of land or distribution, cooperative organization and subsidiarity etc… , things that were sort of clearing away cultural and legal impediments to production , distribution and consumption that would be perfectly applicable in 1st world democratic capitalist bureaucratic hellscapes as well. Look at how illegal sustainability is in places like california for example, or how housing is in incredible deficit purely from self imposed artificial scarcity. There was substantial institutional reform in cuba but it still ultimately couldnt fight physics , too little too late when losing primary inputs like energy. It wouldnt surprise me to see worst of all worlds for somewhere like the usa. no institutional reform to take the edge off

https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-025-01173-4

sorry idk whats going on with this. i definitely input the link this time but it didn’t work with the post properly

Electricity at the personal level can be reduced tremendously, it is the big industrial systems that are producing things that are affected and so that loss of output is where the pain point would be.

I’ve gone whole years on a single 150 watt panel living rurally and still had all the entertainment that can come from a Laptop and cell phone. Ran basic devices from the battery . Not too big a deal for quality of life.

It’s illegal to implement solutions, smaller homes, gardens, composting toilets , groups of people living together densely in communitarian situations, chickens , rain water catchment, reed bed sewer systems , earthworks , self installed solar , etc… almost all those things are illegal in first world countries .

Until people get the collective will to change the law , sustainability wil be something done by outlaws whose lives occasionally get destroyed when the crackdowns happen.

I posted the wrong link with the title and reposted with the correct link

Shit I dont know what happened there . I must have posted a link I was looking at instead of the one with the title

hah , i did some girls college homework paper in like 20 minutes the other day then put it in AI and told it to rewrite it as a C student paper so she wouldn’t get in trouble. lol

what is PUG?

also bad phosphorus fertilizers contain just about every bad heavy metal and radioactive ones. USA has dirty P . China actually has some of the cleanest P because so much of their P refining are newer facilities and they work with different feedstock sources. USA is basically Mosaic corp which has bad sources now that theyve high graded the country, and old shitty refining process facilities.

People sleep on this contamination source getting added every year on almost all farmlands in USA . and its totally preventable problem with effects that cant be undone economically.

😅

literally this time

sad, its one of my favorite fishes. even decent quality sardines are crazy expensive now, except the ones from the baltic which are completely full of toxic PCBs and flame retardants and such.